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Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Money markets continued to push back strongly against G10 central bank communications throughout October and priced in aggressive tightening cycles across the space, resulting in bear flattening in most sovereign yield curves. This led to broader USD weakness in most major pairs, with the exception of EURUSD and USDJPY, both of which bucked the broad G10 trend due to their positions within the G10 monetary space.

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Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Risk-off tone sends the dollar higher in September, Monex retain strong G10 and EM Reuters rankings

The sharp rise in the broad dollar, especially against major G10 currencies, in the last few days of September meant that Monex’s 1-month GBPUSD and EURUSD forecasts didn’t return a high ranking. However, our more neutral stance on euro-crosses and on AUD and NZD resulted in solid near-term rankings. In the EM space, it was business as usual, with notable rankings in MXN, RUB and TRY.

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Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Dovish Powell at Jackson Hole leads to strong EM forecast performance for Monex in Reuters results

The decline in the broad dollar towards the end of the month meant that Monex retained strong rankings over the 1-month horizon for select currencies, especially within the EM space where the dollar’s decline was relatively larger following Powell’s speech. Over the medium-to-long run, Monex’s longstanding view of dollar weakness didn’t filter through to all forecasted currencies.

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Meet the Monex marathon team | Sam Fowler

Meet the Monex marathon team | Sam Fowler

The Monex marathon team is training for the 2021 Virgin Money London Marathon to help raise money for the incredible charity Get Kids Going! To track the team’s incredible journey in the run-up to the big day, we will be releasing a fortnightly interview with each of the runners.

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