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Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Money markets continued to push back strongly against G10 central bank communications throughout October and priced in aggressive tightening cycles across the space, resulting in bear flattening in most sovereign yield curves. This led to broader USD weakness in most major pairs, with the exception of EURUSD and USDJPY, both of which bucked the broad G10 trend due to their positions within the G10 monetary space.

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Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Risk-off tone sends the dollar higher in September, Monex retain strong G10 and EM Reuters rankings

The sharp rise in the broad dollar, especially against major G10 currencies, in the last few days of September meant that Monex’s 1-month GBPUSD and EURUSD forecasts didn’t return a high ranking. However, our more neutral stance on euro-crosses and on AUD and NZD resulted in solid near-term rankings. In the EM space, it was business as usual, with notable rankings in MXN, RUB and TRY.

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Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Dovish Powell at Jackson Hole leads to strong EM forecast performance for Monex in Reuters results

The decline in the broad dollar towards the end of the month meant that Monex retained strong rankings over the 1-month horizon for select currencies, especially within the EM space where the dollar’s decline was relatively larger following Powell’s speech. Over the medium-to-long run, Monex’s longstanding view of dollar weakness didn’t filter through to all forecasted currencies.

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Meet the Monex marathon team | Sam Fowler

Meet the Monex marathon team | Sam Fowler

The Monex marathon team is training for the 2021 Virgin Money London Marathon to help raise money for the incredible charity Get Kids Going! To track the team’s incredible journey in the run-up to the big day, we will be releasing a fortnightly interview with each of the runners.

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Rising rates pressuring USD aids Monex’s Reuters FX rankings

Monex retains strong Reuters rankings despite a volatile July  

Volatility wasn’t absent in July with the re-emergence of Covid concerns, dovish tone from Chair Powell, moderation in growth expectations, and turmoil in Chinese markets. Despite this volatility, Monex’s near-term forecasts weathered the storm, albeit better in the EM space than G10.

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Meet the Monex marathon team | Emma Cove

Meet the Monex marathon team | Emma Cove

The Monex marathon team is training for the 2021 Virgin Money London Marathon to help raise money for the incredible charity Get Kids Going! To track the team’s incredible journey in the run-up to the big day, we will be releasing a fortnightly interview with each of the runners.

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Monex ranked top forecaster for 1-month MXN and BRL forecasts

Monex ranked top forecaster for 1-month MXN and BRL forecasts

The Federal Reserve’s hawkish shift in June caught markets off-guard and resulted in broad US dollar strength throughout the remainder of the month. Despite calling for further USD depreciation, Monex’s conservative stance on further USD downside meant shorter-term forecasts weathered the storm of a stronger dollar.

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Meet the Monex marathon team | Jake Ostrovskis

Meet the Monex marathon team | Jake Ostrovskis

The Monex marathon team are training for the 2021 Virgin Money London Marathon to help raise money for the incredible charity Get Kids Going! To track the team’s incredible journey in the run-up to the big day, we will be releasing a fortnightly interview with each of the runners.

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Monex Europe eyes growth with senior hire in Luxembourg

Monex Europe eyes growth with senior hire in Luxembourg

Leading commercial foreign exchange specialist Monex Europe has appointed a new Director to its senior leadership team in Luxembourg. David Brown, who joins Monex Europe with a wealth of experience from senior positions within Royal Dutch Shell’s finance team, will be responsible for growing the business throughout continental Europe.

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