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US Covid curve steepens, dollar to rise or fall?

US Covid curve steepens, dollar to rise or fall?

If the US economy underperforms its global peers in Q3 due to a severe domestic second wave, will the dollar continue to strengthen on haven demand? With FOMC minutes and US jobs data out this week markets will have plenty of impetus to ponder the question.

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US battle with virus drives markets  

US battle with virus drives markets  

The domestic US Covid-19 situation has clearly deteriorated this week, with new cases increasing on average across the nation and several states showing signs of severe outbreaks that may threaten to pressure healthcare systems.

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Yuan to trade back to 7.00 but signs of stress remain

Yuan to trade back to 7.00 but signs of stress remain

While China’s economy was the first to experience lockdown measures due to it being the epicenter of the pandemic, it was also one of the first countries to flatten the curve. After contracting 6.8% in Q1 due to the lockdown measures rolled out nationally, the Chinese economy is set to rebound at a rapid pace in Q2.

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Czech National Bank leaves key rate at the expected 0.25%

Czech National Bank leaves key rate at the expected 0.25%

Markets barely flinched at today’s decision by the Czech National Bank to leave its 2-week repurchase rate at 0.25%, as the move was fully priced in – all economists who provided Bloomberg with an estimate of today’s decision expected the Bank to keep rates on hold.

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Will binary risk on, risk off dynamic weaken?

Will binary risk on, risk off dynamic weaken?

For much of May and June, broad moves in risk sentiment have dominated major FX pairs, with the US dollar strengthening during risk-off periods and weakening as risk appetite improved. As a result, the broad dollar’s performance has traded with an inverse relationship to US equities.

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Meet the team

Ranko Berich

Ranko Berich

Head of Market Analysis

Ranko Berich heads up the team of analysts at Monex Canada and Monex Europe. The analysis team provide timely insight and commentary on developments in currency movements and their drivers.
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Simon Harvey

Simon Harvey

FX Market Analyst

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Olivia.Alvarez

Olivia Alvarez

FX Market Analyst

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